Opinion/Trading
Yield makes a comeback
Two months into 2012, Mitul Kotecha assesses the modest healing process that appears to have taken hold in currency markets after a period of marked risk aversion, and explains why yield is becoming a key factor influencing investor appetite
Why the consensus is wrong on USD/JPY
RBC Capital Markets has taken a contrarian view on the yen for several years, predicting it would strengthen against the US dollar while the consensus forecast was for yen strength. After the bank’s contrarian view has proved accurate, Adam Cole argues…
Analysis paralysis
Ever-increasing foreign exchange volumes, acute volatility in currencies and the imminent arrival of new trading regulations have combined to create an environment in which being able to properly analyse execution costs and quality is more important than…
Fighting a losing battle on yen strength
Despite repeated intervention by the Bank of Japan over the past year, the yen remains stronger than ever, with USD/JPY struggling to break above 77. Derek Halpenny analyses the three episodes of intervention and related data to explain why intervention…
No more lifelines for Greece
Following a chaotic series of last-ditch efforts by political leaders to put together a solution to the troubles in the eurozone, Nick Beecroft believes the only viable option left is to transfer cash from the core of Europe to the periphery, through the…
Trading like it’s 2008
Foreign exchange markets in 2011 continue to show parallels to 2008, but the economy is unlikely to slip back into recession and Asian currencies look set to benefit from broad-based US dollar selling. Callum Henderson looks at the key similarities…
More upside in the Aussie dollar
Paul Bednarczyk, head of currency strategy at 4Cast in London, looks at the steady rise of the Australian dollar since 2008 and explains why it might yet appreciate further
Thomson Reuters’s time in the spotlight?
The old rivalry between EBS Spot and Thomson Reuters might be getting a new lease of life, as Thomson Reuters positions the Thomson Reuters Dealing system as a Sef and MTF-compliant platform for bespoke product trading. And now the Matching Host…
Power to the high-frequency traders
Speakers at the FX Week USA congress held in New York last Tuesday (July 13) were resoundingly supportive of the role high-frequency traders (HFT) have had in ensuring liquidity in the market.
Out of crisis comes opportunity?
The past few weeks of rampant volatility have no doubt put the technology of a number dealers to the test. particularly interesting though are the strategic rumours circulating about an unlikely dealer.
USD in the long run
Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York,steps back from the markets to take a look at the bigger picture
Slow but steady
Naomi Fink, Japan strategist in global markets sales and trading at the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ, thinks Japan is on the road to recovery
Chasing the perfect storm
Monica Fan, senior currency product engineer at State Street Global Advisors based in London, assesses the prospects for the US dollar in 2010 and what it would take for cyclical recovery to occur
Sticking to fundamentals
Callum Henderson, global head of foreign exchange research at Standard Chartered in Singapore, warns of a violent US dollar upside correction in the first half of 2010
A changing longer-term dollar paradigm
Pete Luxton, global economic adviser at Informa Global Markets in London says the dollar may be reaching a turning point
The Brazilian real: Can it be reined in?
Simon Derrick, chief currency markets strategist at BNY Mellon in London discusses Brazil, its capital controls, and the implications for other emerging economies
Diode decoupling
While there is increasing optimism about the global economy's rebound, the growth story is fractured. Asia - especially China but also South Korea, among others - is seeing strong growth while Western economies lag, says Paul Mortimer-Lee, strategist at…
Yuan debate reignites
Simon Derrick, chief currency markets strategist at BNY Mellon in London, says the November G-20 meeting could be critical as the US and China set out their respective cases for the direction of the Chinese yuan
Central banks walk the 'not buying dollar' walk
Central banks are increasingly reluctant to accumulate US dollars, and are shifting out of the unit into other G-10 currencies, says Steven Englander, currency strategist at Barclays Capital in New York
The search for yield
Investment flows are returning to emerging markets as investors scour the globe for yield, says , senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York
Struggling with risk
Geoffrey Yu, currency strategist at UBS, looks at the potential for a reversal of risk appetite