Trading
Dollar set to depreciate
Net capital inflows will exceed the US current account deficit over the next year, prompting dollar depreciation to begin again, says Jay Bryson, economics analyst at Wachovia Bank in Charlotte, North Carolina
"What is risk management?" ask Risk USA speakers
BOSTON – The way banks and other financial institutions think about – and sometimes misinterpret – risk management formed the main theme of the opening keynote speeches at FX Week sister publication Risk 's USA conference held last week.
Merrill gets FX licence in South Korea
SEOUL – Merrill Lynch has become the first foreign investment bank to receive an FX licence from the South Korean financial services regulatory body, the Financial Supervisory Commission.
Merrill boss adds ex-colleagues
NEW YORK – Merrill Lynch's new global FX chief, Stephen Kemp, has hired three former colleagues from Morgan Stanley, the bank he left last April in order to join Merrill.
HSBC reverses its fortunes
HSBC, which last month was languishing near the bottom of the FX Week Currency Forecasts Index, is this week the top one-month forecaster. The bank's aggregated majors forecasts, submitted May 21 and tested against spot on June 21, were out by just over…
How to make yen gains amid intervention fears
A currency overlay manager may wish to take advantage of fresh yen strength without being exposed to the impact of renewed intervention. Simon Derrick, head of Bank of New York's currency strategy team, describes a simple, low-cost way to express this…
Tax bill to bring the dollars home
NEW YORK – A new tax bill in the US that is likely to herald a massive repatriation of funds into the country could spell a 5%–10% hike for the dollar, according to one scenario model from Dutch bank ABN Amro.
Boosting dollar returns during euro strength
To boost returns on a US dollar deposit in a bullish euro environment, a European exporter would be wise to consider an FX tarn with conversion, says Christophe Bouculat, senior FX structurer at Calyon in Paris
Year of plenty for top 30 banks
Little evidence of mid-tier contraction as revenue ranking hits new high
Micex expands forex coverage
MOSCOW – The Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (Micex) has launched new FX contracts in a step towards expanding the exchange-traded FX market in Russia.
Forex firm fined record $100m for fraud
NEW YORK – A US federal court ruled in favour of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) last week, as it found a foreign exchange futures firm liable for the illegal sale of futures contracts. The $100 million restitution and penalty charges…
Yen volatility returns in MoF absence
TOKYO – Traders in Japan are reporting a healthy return to yen volatility following the Japanese Ministry of Finance's (MoF) withdrawal from currency intervention in mid March.
Consensus forecasts win out
Consensus forecasts are commonly seen as a reliable indicator of future currency moves, and our Currency Forecasts Index proves this – to a degree.
Kiwi ripens against Aussie
The New Zealand dollar is rising against the Aussie in line with interest rate differentials. But potential growth in Australia may cap its gains, says Sue Trinh, currency strategist at the Bank of New Zealand in Wellington
Overlay staff in short supply
NEW YORK – Demand for currency overlay is outstripping the supply of available managers, as the boom in investors managing currency continues.
Election uncertainty hits Phillippine peso trading
MANILA – Market participants in the Philippines are anticipating a return to volatility in the next few weeks, as uncertainty over the recent elections clears up.
Swissie rise snares forecasters
Dollar/Swiss was the most difficult currency pair to forecast over the past month, as the Swissie's 5% rise against the greenback took it from 1.3019 on May 7 to 1.2370 on June 7. Average % accuracy on one-month forecasts submitted by the 38 banks on our…
Improver knock-in forward for dollar bears
With the widely held belief that dollar/yen has scope to fall much further, Royal Bank of Canada's financial engineering team in London proposes a solution for a client wanting to buy US dollar forwards at more attractive rates. An 'improver knock-in…
An obsession with oil
Swiss franc, Norwegian krone and euro gains may be about to reverse, says Steven Pearson, chief currency strategist at HBOS Treasury Services in London
Snow hails CME's China deal
CHICAGO – The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has forged a ground- breaking deal with a central bank-sponsored FX trading platform in China, in a move hailed by US government officials as a crucial step towards renminbi flexibility.
Reuters sees sales turnaround
LONDON – Reuters chief executive Tom Glocer last week announced the first positive month for sales since May 2001. Speaking at an investor's conference in London, Glocer said sales of the vendor's data and technology products in May 2004 exceeded…
Saxo upgrades support service
COPENHAGEN – Saxo Bank has upgraded support for users of its white-label trading platform SaxoTrader, with a new service to offer advice on website development, advertising, marketing and customer relationship management.
Citigroup restaffs Singapore sales
SINGAPORE – Citigroup has rehired to fill a void in its Singapore institutional sales team after a team of three defected to Barclays Capital.
EBS launches Aussie and Canadian trading packages
LONDON – Spot broker EBS last week launched new Australian and Canadian dollar packages for its dealing platform in a bid to increase market-share in those currencies.