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The perils of a presidential election

The forthcoming US race for the White House represents a major risk for the FX markets ahead of voting in November and beyond, says Bilal Hafeez, head of foreign exchange strategy at Deutsche Bank in London

Pound holds up against dollar and euro

Cable has seen significant volatility over the past three months, according to the FX Week Currency Forecasts Index. Sterling peaked at 1.8771 on July 19, with a low of 1.7709 on September 8.

Protecting speculative trade management positions

Some clients will have specific views on the future movements of currencies to which they have exposure. UBS's global FX solutions group shows how barrier strategies can be used to limit risk on these positions

NAB to re-open options desk

MELBOURNE – National Australia Bank hopes to re-open its currency options desk in the "near-term", said chairman Graham Kraehe last week. However, the bank refused to be drawn on a date, saying it was up to regulator the Australian Prudential Regulation…

South Africa comes under global focus

JOHANNESBURG – South Africa is currently a focus of activity in the FX world, as global institutions such as the Continuous-Linked Settlement Group (CLS) and spot broker EBS add the region to their sphere of activity.

UBS sees euro at $1.40 in a year

Apart from a brief dip below 1.20 in mid-May, euro/dollar has been bouncing between 1.20 and 1.25 per dollar since the end of February – a period of relative price stability for the pair, which rose a massive 20 big figures in the preceding six months.

How spreads can affect profitability

Spread cost makes a big impact on profitability, says Michael Stumm, co-founder and president of Oanda. Here he shows how to assess just how much different levels of spreads cost

Will payrolls break EUR/USD range?

The market is already shifting its focus to this week's payrolls release, but the case for a range break in euro/dollar from a large positive or negative surprise is not clear cut, says Trevor Dinmore, FX strategist at Deutsche Bank in London

Politics fail to dampen hopes for forint

BUDAPEST – The resignation last month of Hungary's prime minister Peter Medgyessy has not led to the trading opportunities that may have been expected from the country's currency, the forint.

Rankings reveal diversifying inter-dealer market

The inter-dealer market for foreign exchange is shrinking, as an increasing number of mid-tier players retreat from market-making to become clients of the top firms. The banks that remain are working hard to consolidate their positions as liquidity…

EBS to admit funds to Spot

LONDON – Spot broker EBS will allow funds to trade on its EBS Spot platform from next year, it will announce this week.

Foley to launch Gelber FX desk

CHICAGO – Bank One's former forex options chief Justin Foley is joining Gelber Trading, a division of Chicago-based trading firm Gelber Group, to set up a new FX desk in September.

Will payrolls break EUR/USD range?

The market is already shifting its focus to this week's payrolls release, but the case for a range break in euro/dollar from a large positive or negative surprise is not clear cut, says Trevor Dinmore, FX strategist at Deutsche Bank in London

FX volumes up by a third

LONDON – FX trading volumes are up by nearly a third over the past three years, according to new research from UK consultancy ClientKnowledge.

Calyon picks the dollar recovery

The current broad dollar recovery, which saw euro/dollar dropping three big figures and sterling/dollar sinking by nearly five in just two weeks, has caught out many in the FX market. But Calyon was not at all surprised, explained Mitul Kotecha, global…

Commerce FX storms US retail market

BOSTON – Commerce FX, a subsidiary of Boston-based Commerce Bank & Trust, is reaping the rewards of its entrance into the retail margin trading market last year, an official told FX Week .

Eliminating foreign exchange translation risk

FX translation can mis-represent a company's profit growth on its balance sheet. Cliff Bayne, senior exotics dealer, and Terence Yiu, chief dealer, at ABN Amro in Singapore, explain how to hedge the translation risk at minimal cost

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