Trading
No 2005 rally for the greenback, say analysts
WASHINGTON – The dollar is unlikely to see a revival in 2005, and could weaken further against Asian currencies, according to bank analysts.
Review of 2004 - April: Banks draw EU25 battle plans
LONDON & FRANKFURT – Euro convergence may still be years away for the 10 new member states joining the European Union (EU), but far-sighted banks and brokers were already drawing up their FX battle plans for the new Europe in April. Deutsche Bank, HSBC,…
Review of 2004 - November: Forex liquidity crisis looms
LONDON – UBS, Deutsche Bank and Barclays Capital warned of a potential liquidity crisis in foreign exchange at the FX Week 2004 Congress.
Banks lose on FX in fourth quarter
NEW YORK – Two North American banks reported fourth-quarter drops in profit in forex last month.
Review of 2004 - December: Deutsche cuts global forex
FRANKFURT & SINGAPORE – Deutsche Bank was in the process of a major restructuring of its foreign exchange capabilities globally.
Review of 2004 - September: Reuters widens FX access
LONDON – Reuters announced that fund managers, corporates and mid-tier banks would soon get access to the firm’s interbank FX rates for the first time. The firm announced it would take spot dealing prices from its Matching service, used by 7,000 users at…
Review of 2004 - October: Shock job losses at Tullett
LONDON – Tullett Liberty suffered a surprise defeat in the integration of its forex business with rival Prebon Yamane. Broking sources in London said Tullett’s FX forwards team left in the two weeks following the completion of parent Collins Stewart…
Review of 2004 - February: RBS and Deutsche lead the way
FRANKFURT AND LONDON – February was a good month for Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Deutsche Bank with both reporting figures showing that they were gaining on their rivals.
Euro gains status as reserve
FRANFURT – Buying by some of Eastern Europe’s and Africa’s central banks is buoying the euro as the central bankers come to the realisation the currency is here to stay, according to a leading forex fund manager.
Review of 2004 - January: NAB saga starts in earnest
MELBOURNE – The saga of National Australia Bank’s rogue trading scandal came to light on January 13. The bank said it had uncovered losses of up to A$180 million (US$140 million) from unauthorised trading in forex options during the fourth quarter.
Dollar’s fall catches out FX rate forecasters over three months
The extent to which the market has been surprised by the extent of the dollar’s fall over the last quarter is demonstrated by the FX Week three-month forecasts. Three forecasters saw a divergence of more than 13% from the actual spot rate on euro/dollar…
Asian currencies resilient
HONG KONG – Asia’s currencies have proved resilient after the devastation caused by the earthquake and tsunami disaster that struck the region last week, said analysts.
Review of 2004 - July: AIB repays E26m for overcharging
DUBLIN – Allied Irish Banks (AIB) said it would repay the e26 million ($32 million) it overcharged clients on 3 million FX deals, after a regulator slammed the bank in a report in July.
Introducing FX into fixed-income portfolios
David Durrant, chief currency strategist for the Americas at Julius Baer Asset Management, says a simple use of cross trades exploiting different central banks’ positions in the economic cycle shows that it is not necessary to use exotic structures
Cable – getting nervous about $2?
Karen Griffith, chief currency analyst at Independent II Research, says technical and fundamental indicators point to sterling well above the $2 mark
IFX goes gaming
LONDON – IFX Markets, the financial trading and spread-betting firm, in December acquired a majority stake in FX Player, a virtual reality forex gaming business.
Dollar weakening, but for how long?
Dollar weakness will continue into the first quarter of 2005 under current US policies, says Marios Maratheftis, economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London. But market volatility may change the Fed's stance
Banks' 'indifference' to IAS 39 hints at software panic-buying
LONDON -- Software vendors are preparing to take advantage of any bank glitches once the IAS 39 accounting standard is implemented on January 1.
Banking on a e/$ breakout
Saxo Bank and Deutsche Bank attained the top two spots in the three-month forecasts this week, with accurate positions on euro/dollar. Deutsche Bank came closest to picking the extent of the euro's strength against the greenback.
Asia continues to rally against dollar
HONG KONG -- Asian currencies are undervalued and will continue to strengthen next year against a weak dollar, according to market participants.