Dollar weakness set to continue
Recent comments from US economic officials and the latest US portfolio flow data do not make the case for a prolonged period of dollar strength.
The dollar is unlikely to receive much support from either US monetary or fiscal policy over the medium term. US equity markets are also unlikely to become a magnet for international capital flows, as in the late 1990s.
The dollar’s recent gains appear to be mostly technically driven, and we believe the right conditions will usher in the next phase of
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