Consensus forecasts win out

cf062104a-jpg

The one-month e/$ consensus forecast for example, which is derived from the mean of all contributors' views, is on average 97.49% accurate since January. Some weeks the consensus view is virtually spot on – notably when the aggregated view of 1.2046 forecast on April 16 fell short of the spot rate on May 17 of 1.2040 by just 0.05%. The 1m consensus forecast has also been within 1% of the spot rate for the periods leading up to February 9, February 16 and May 24.

The bad news is that most of

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact [email protected] or view our subscription options here: https://subscriptions.fx-markets.com/subscribe

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact [email protected] to find out more.

To continue reading...

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a FX Markets account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an indvidual account here: