Changing seasons

It has been a volatile summer for the emerging markets, both for sovereign debt and local currencies. The focus of many investors is the asset allocation shift from carry to growth, and thus to a large extent from bonds to equities, but it is also important to remember that summer volatility in some emerging markets is not uncommon.

Together with BoA’s Risk Management Advisory group, we took a detailed look at monthly and quarterly seasonals for CEE currencies, looking at the performance of

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