Seasonal yen patterns

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We studied the seasonal pattern of dollar/yen since 1990 and found that there is a statistically significant seasonal pattern. Dollar/yen has risen between October 15 and January 15 in three of the past five financial years in which it has a 10% or greater downtrend, and the average cycle bottom of dollar/yen over that 13-year period is on October 17. The cycle peak comes, on average on January 16, and the average rise between those two points is ¥4.2. This difference is great enough to pass

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