Portfolio flows and the dollar’s outlook

The US dollar came off its multi-year lows in late February, leaving market players questioning whether its two-year decline had finally ended. After reaching a record intra-day high of 1.2930 against the euro on February 18, it gained back as much as 7.2% by March 3, hitting an intra-day low of 1.2060. Market pundits note that the dollar’s recovery has been driven more by market positioning than economic fundamentals, but the flow of funds story sheds much-needed light on what appears to be a

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