Tracking the effects of QE on cable

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Richard Grace, CBA

Predicting the twists and turns of GBP/USD over the past year has required close attention to interest rate differentials and the effects of repeated rounds of quantitative easing (QE) on the two currencies. From mid-2010 to mid-2011, the pound climbed gradually higher against the dollar, moving from a low of 1.43 to reach 1.67 in late April.

Wells Fargo topped the three-month rankings based on cable forecasts submitted between June 2010 and June 2011. On September 2, 2010, as the US Federal

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