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Iran conflict forces EM carry trade unwinds

Surging oil prices, rising vol and dollar flight triggered stop-outs of emerging market positions, say dealers

Montage of Iran flag with rocket launchers pointed at EM currencies
Risk.net montage

The Iran conflict has forced investors to liquidate profitable emerging market foreign exchange options positions, as a broad risk-off move triggered stop-outs and value-at-risk breaches across multiple currency pairs.

“Any positions that people have held for the last few months – positions where they’ve actually made money – those are the ones getting cut very quickly,” says Sagar Sambrani, an executive director in the G10 FX options trading team at Nomura.

The Brazilian real, Korean won, Indian

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